Elias Ymer vs Kaichi Uchida Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Elias Ymer's second serve performance is slightly lower than Kaichi Uchida's, winning 43.33% of points compared to Uchida’s 43.94%. Could this marginal difference affect the outcome?
• Ymer is stronger on the return, with 48.77% success against opponent's second serve and 27.43% against the first, while Uchida has 44.51% and 23.79% respectively. This suggests Ymer may have an edge in breaking serve.
• Under pressure, Uchida fares marginally better in breakpoint saving, with a save percentage of 54.68% compared to Ymer’s 53.98%. Could this give Uchida a slight advantage in tight situations?
• When it comes to the last year's overall performance, Uchida leads with a win percentage of 60.00%, compared to Ymer’s 53.73%. Who might be better positioned considering these statistics?
• Both players show similar performance on clay, but Uchida has a slight advantage on hard surfaces with a 50% win rate over Ymer's 47%.
• In terms of player level, Uchida has a stronger performance in Futures/Satellites/ITF events, winning 65.12% of matches, while Ymer's success rate at Challengers/ITF >$10K is 54.55%.
• Their direct head-to-head record favors Ymer, who won their only past encounter in straight sets on a hard court.
• Ymer has faced tougher competition, playing against opponents with an average rank of 277.64, while Uchida’s opponents had an average rank of 429.91.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Ymer has a slightly higher success rate (61%) compared to Uchida (60%).
• The breakpoint conversion rate favors Ymer as well, converting 36.24% of opportunities compared to Uchida's 28.76%.

Editorial Prediction (November 15, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the statistics reveals a competitive match ahead. Ymer has shown a stronger return game and has faced higher-ranked opponents over the past year, which may give him a competitive edge in breaking Uchida's serve.

Though Uchida performs slightly better under pressure and on hard courts, Ymer's victory in their previous encounter and his ability to convert breakpoints more effectively cannot be dismissed.

With both players having similar success on clay and Uchida's marginally better overall form over the past year, the contest could go either way. However, the strengths identified in Ymer’s game make him the likely favorite to secure a win in this matchup.